What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 25 Sep 2019 → 02 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 13 Apr 2024 → 06 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 Jul 2025 → 28 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 14 Jul 2019 → 07 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Sep 2016 → 12 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 22 May 2021 → 30 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 02 Jun 2016 → 30 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Aug 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 10 Sep 2022 → 25 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 29 Mar 2025 → 10 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 423 | 106 | 25.1% | 0 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 15 |
| 2023 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2019 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2017 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2015 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
Over 450 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), New York City drew 111 where the draw model expected 115.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.