What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 03 Jun 2017 → 27 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 06 Apr 2024 → 17 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 28 Aug 2016 → 25 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 26 Apr 2014 → 02 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 30 Aug 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 30 Sep 2023 → 17 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 01 Mar 2025 → 07 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 10 Mar 2012 → 12 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 06 Jun 2015 → 18 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Jul 2013 → 25 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 515 | 124 | 24.1% | 12 | 17 |
| US Open Cup | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 1 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2025 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 17 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 8 |
| 2021 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2019 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 2018 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2017 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 20 |
| 2016 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2015 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 15 |
| 2013 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 440 matches (Mar 2015 – Nov 2026), New England Revolution drew 109 where the draw model expected 110.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 110.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.