What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 20 Oct 2012 → 16 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 13 Apr 2014 → 02 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 12 May 2013 → 03 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 22 Feb 2014 → 29 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 14 Mar 2015 → 18 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 22 Nov 2014 → 14 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 16 Aug 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 03 Nov 2013 → 04 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 21 Jul 2012 → 18 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 31 May 2015 → 22 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 110 | 27 | 24.6% | 0 | 10 |
| Austrian Cup | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2015 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2013 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 9 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 137 matches (Aug 2009 – Oct 2020), SC Wiener Neustadt drew 34 where the draw model expected 29.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 32.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.