What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 12 Aug 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 01 Sep 2019 → 09 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 14 Apr 2019 → 26 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 19 Aug 2018 → 07 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 May 2018 → 16 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 02 Apr 2018 → 29 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 19 Jun 2019 → 28 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 06 Apr 2015 → 26 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 13 Apr 2016 → 25 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 25 May 2015 → 21 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 120 | 27 | 22.5% | 10 | 11 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 3 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2018 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 11 |
| 2014 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 105 matches (Apr 2015 – Nov 2019), Nest-Sotra Fotball drew 21 where the draw model expected 22.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 21.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.