What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 Jan 2025 → 11 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 23 Apr 2021 → 28 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 10 Jan 2026 → 06 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 04 Mar 2022 → 29 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 03 Oct 2020 → 24 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 25 Oct 2019 → 19 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 01 Mar 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 02 Jul 2022 → 12 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 23 Oct 2021 → 12 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Feb 2020 → 31 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 365 | 104 | 28.5% | 0 | 15 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2025 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 15 |
| 2024 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 13 |
| 2020 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 34 | 15 | 44.1% | 4 |
| 2017 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 5 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
Over 365 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2026), Club Necaxa drew 104 where the draw model expected 100.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 99.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.