What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 19 Jun 2024 → 18 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 09 Aug 2025 → 01 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 14 Jun 2025 → 25 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 01 Mar 2025 → 26 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 17 Jun 2023 → 26 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Mar 2026 → 25 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 13 May 2026 → 25 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 06 Aug 2022 → 03 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 18 Oct 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 17 May 2023 → 03 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 237 | 73 | 30.8% | 1 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2021 | 36 | 19 | 52.8% | 5 |
| 2020 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 258 matches (May 2018 – Nov 2026), Nashville SC drew 78 where the draw model expected 68.3 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.