What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 03 Jun 1996 → 10 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 05 Aug 1995 → 01 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 19 Jun 1994 → 21 Aug 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 11 Jul 1993 → 05 Sep 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 14 May 1995 → 17 Jun 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 29 Apr 1996 → 23 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 15 May 1994 → 05 Jun 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 25 Jun 1995 → 23 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 09 May 1993 → 22 May 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 13 Mar 2022 → 23 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 88 | 15 | 17.1% | 0 | 12 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 1995 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 9 |
| 1994 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 139 matches (Jun 1989 – Aug 2025), Nardo FK drew 23 where the draw model expected 27.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.