What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 01 May 1999 → 03 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 04 Oct 2000 → 21 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 27 Oct 2001 → 12 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 22 Aug 2015 → 21 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 14 Oct 2011 → 11 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 03 Feb 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 01 Dec 2019 → 04 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Aug 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 13 Sep 2003 → 03 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 21 Nov 1997 → 21 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1022 | 292 | 28.6% | 0 | 18 |
| Ligue 2 | 201 | 60 | 29.8% | 0 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 56 | 15 | 26.8% | 1 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 | 3 |
| Trophée des Champions | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2024 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2023 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 11 |
| 2018 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2015 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 12 |
| 2014 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2011 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2006 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 6 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2002 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2000 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 15 |
| 1999 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 18 |
| 1998 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 1997 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 1995 | 45 | 19 | 42.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 1993 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 4 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 481 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Nantes drew 126 where the draw model expected 130.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 130.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.