What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 28 Jan 2012 → 05 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 14 Mar 2004 → 19 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 13 Dec 2008 → 28 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 09 Feb 2008 → 20 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 02 Apr 2006 → 03 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 30 Jan 2005 → 27 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 23 Sep 2012 → 03 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 18 Oct 2008 → 16 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 04 May 2008 → 14 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 11 Mar 2007 → 22 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 462 | 137 | 29.7% | 2 | 15 |
| La Liga | 76 | 20 | 26.3% | 4 | 11 |
| Copa del Rey | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2012 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 15 |
| 2011 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2010 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2008 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2006 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2004 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 15 |
| 2003 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2002 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2001 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 2000 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 6 |
Over 567 matches (Sep 2000 – Aug 2026), Real Murcia drew 164 where the draw model expected 168.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 165.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.