What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 08 Mar 2005 → 30 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 15 Dec 2002 → 24 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 Dec 2016 → 20 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 08 Mar 2008 → 13 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 19 May 2001 → 24 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 12 Dec 1998 → 02 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 11 Mar 2006 → 05 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 23 Oct 2004 → 29 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 25 Feb 2018 → 16 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 07 Mar 2009 → 16 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 593 | 139 | 23.4% | 2 | 23 |
| Belgian Cup | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 2020 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 6 |
| 2018 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 10 |
| 2017 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 13 |
| 2016 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2008 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 14 |
| 2007 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2006 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 23 |
| 2004 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2003 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 16 |
| 2002 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2001 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 2000 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 1999 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 1998 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 1997 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 1996 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
Over 164 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2021), Royal Excel Mouscron drew 37 where the draw model expected 39.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 39.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.