What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 02 Feb 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 10 Aug 2019 → 22 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 25 Sep 2013 → 18 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 25 Aug 2024 → 14 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 22 Dec 2001 → 19 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 25 Jan 2003 → 26 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 08 Dec 2018 → 24 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Apr 2013 → 14 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 17 Oct 2004 → 27 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 08 Apr 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 1208 | 279 | 23.1% | 1 | 21 |
| Scottish League Cup | 85 | 14 | 16.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 58 | 9 | 15.5% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2024 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 16 |
| 2023 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2021 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | 21 |
| 2018 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 2016 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 27 |
| 2015 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 15 |
| 2012 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2011 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2009 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 12 |
| 2007 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2006 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 13 |
| 2003 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 14 |
| 2002 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2001 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2000 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 1995 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1994 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 531 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Motherwell drew 113 where the draw model expected 124.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 121.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.