What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 07 Dec 2024 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Mar 2025 → 06 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 06 Nov 2007 → 19 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 23 Jul 2016 → 24 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 16 Mar 2010 → 10 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Mar 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 04 Aug 2018 → 29 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 06 Apr 2015 → 18 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 19 Feb 2011 → 09 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 05 Oct 2024 → 30 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 727 | 196 | 27.0% | 9 | 18 |
| National League | 134 | 31 | 23.1% | 3 | 10 |
| League One | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 4 | 8 |
| FA Cup | 70 | 12 | 17.1% | 3 | 3 |
| League Cup | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 14 |
| 2024 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2022 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 9 |
| 2020 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 11 |
| 2017 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 13 |
| 2015 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2013 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2012 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 2011 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 11 |
| 2010 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2009 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2005 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 8 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 564 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), Morecambe drew 142 where the draw model expected 149.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 151.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.