What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 24 Mar 2019 → 12 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 03 Dec 2024 → 09 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 03 Sep 2000 → 12 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 30 Mar 2025 → 06 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 18 Sep 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Apr 2001 → 10 Jun 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 25 Apr 2022 → 05 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 14 May 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Apr 2021 → 14 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Apr 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 266 | 89 | 33.5% | 0 | 11 |
| Serie A | 124 | 32 | 25.8% | 7 | 10 |
| Serie C | 90 | 25 | 27.8% | 0 | 16 |
| Coppa Italia | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2024 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 2019 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 18 |
| 2018 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 10 |
| 2000 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 1999 | 39 | 18 | 46.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% | 4 |
Over 356 matches (Aug 2017 – Oct 2026), AC Monza drew 95 where the draw model expected 102.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.