What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 30 Aug 2008 → 24 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 09 Apr 2011 → 08 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 02 May 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 23 Sep 2006 → 20 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 23 Nov 2019 → 10 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 11 Apr 2015 → 17 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 21 Feb 2009 → 01 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 24 Apr 2001 → 29 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 02 Feb 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 29 Jul 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 756 | 171 | 22.6% | 0 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 279 | 69 | 24.7% | 0 | 17 |
| Scottish League Cup | 62 | 5 | 8.1% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Scottish Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 17 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2023 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 13 |
| 2018 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2012 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 18 |
| 2010 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 14 |
| 2008 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 16 |
| 2007 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 11 |
| 2006 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2005 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2004 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2002 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2001 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2000 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 10 |
| 1998 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
Over 473 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Montrose drew 111 where the draw model expected 109.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 104.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.