What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 24 Oct 2015 → 23 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 05 May 2019 → 21 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 15 Oct 2022 → 18 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Jun 2025 → 14 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 16 Mar 2025 → 10 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 18 Apr 2026 → 30 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 08 Nov 2025 → 16 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 27 Oct 2024 → 12 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 04 Mar 2023 → 29 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 11 Sep 2021 → 23 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 558 | 142 | 25.5% | 3 | 19 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 15 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2017 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2016 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2015 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2014 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2013 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 476 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), CF Monterrey drew 119 where the draw model expected 126.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 128.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.