What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 01 Sep 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 23 Jan 2022 → 22 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 29 Oct 2023 → 09 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 21 Sep 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 03 Oct 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 01 Mar 2026 → 14 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 07 Mar 2024 → 23 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 05 Feb 2023 → 25 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 30 Oct 2022 → 20 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 12 Apr 2026 → 26 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 148 | 51 | 34.5% | 3 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2022 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 149 matches (Jul 2017 – Apr 2026), Monterosi drew 51 where the draw model expected 46.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 45.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.