What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 17 Apr 2015 → 19 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 30 Sep 2018 → 18 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 12 Jan 2018 → 09 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 05 Mar 2016 → 06 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 12 Apr 2013 → 03 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 29 Oct 2017 → 03 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 14 Feb 2015 → 03 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 30 Aug 2019 → 19 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 20 Jul 2019 → 23 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 15 Apr 2017 → 14 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 286 | 78 | 27.3% | 4 | 13 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2015 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 2014 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2012 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 4 |
Over 195 matches (Jan 2015 – Mar 2020), Monarcas Morelia drew 49 where the draw model expected 53.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.