What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 May 2019 → 13 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 15 Oct 2017 → 12 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 13 Mar 2022 → 15 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 08 Nov 2020 → 15 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 18 Jun 2018 → 04 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 23 Apr 2017 → 21 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 17 Jul 2024 → 28 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 22 May 2022 → 08 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 01 Aug 2020 → 13 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 Apr 2025 → 21 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 342 | 85 | 24.9% | 2 | 13 |
| US Open Cup | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2022 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2020 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2018 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 375 matches (Jun 2016 – Nov 2026), Minnesota United drew 96 where the draw model expected 94.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 94.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.