What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 18 Aug 2009 → 01 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 14 Sep 2013 → 29 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 16 Dec 2023 → 17 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Aug 2019 → 12 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 01 Jan 2019 → 12 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 21 Oct 2008 → 28 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 18 Feb 2006 → 29 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Feb 2014 → 18 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 09 Aug 2008 → 11 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 12 Oct 2024 → 26 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 692 | 173 | 25.0% | 6 | 17 |
| League Two | 276 | 62 | 22.5% | 0 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 58 | 16 | 27.6% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Championship | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 3 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 13 |
| 2018 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2016 | 59 | 19 | 32.2% | 5 |
| 2015 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 18 |
| 2012 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2010 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2009 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 19 |
| 2008 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 13 |
| 2007 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2006 | 54 | 7 | 13.0% | 13 |
| 2005 | 51 | 21 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2004 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 593 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Milton Keynes Dons drew 146 where the draw model expected 160.6 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 157.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.