What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 22 Feb 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 21 Feb 2009 → 02 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 19 Apr 1997 → 18 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 16 Dec 2006 → 10 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 30 Aug 2008 → 15 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 07 Nov 2015 → 23 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 06 Feb 1999 → 21 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 10 Apr 2023 → 26 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 17 Sep 2016 → 19 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 05 May 2001 → 22 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1026 | 298 | 29.0% | 3 | 17 |
| League One | 506 | 120 | 23.7% | 4 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 320 | 83 | 25.9% | 1 | 7 |
| League Cup | 180 | 45 | 25.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 58 | 11 | 19.0% | 25 |
| 2024 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2022 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2017 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 6 |
| 2010 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2009 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 17 |
| 2008 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 2007 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2006 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2001 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 1998 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 7 |
| 1997 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 17 |
| 1996 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 1995 | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 10 |
| 1994 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 10 |
| 1993 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1992 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1986 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1984 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1975 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1936 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1922 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 614 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Millwall drew 165 where the draw model expected 171.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 164.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.