What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 23 Apr 2017 → 25 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 26 Sep 2019 → 14 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 04 May 2014 → 19 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 26 Oct 2013 → 21 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 29 Sep 2024 → 23 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 23 Oct 2023 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 25 Sep 2016 → 11 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 17 Aug 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 19 May 2021 → 10 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Dec 2020 → 10 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 482 | 106 | 22.0% | 3 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 104 | 20 | 19.2% | 3 | 11 |
| Danish Cup | 58 | 10 | 17.2% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2023 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2022 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 9 |
| 2021 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2019 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2018 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 20 |
| 2016 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 13 |
| 2015 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 2 | 5.6% | 17 |
| 2013 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 3 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 534 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Midtjylland drew 116 where the draw model expected 121.2 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 131.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.