What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 28 Apr 2018 → 19 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Mar 2016 → 11 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 11 Mar 2006 → 25 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 07 Apr 2001 → 22 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 18 Feb 2024 → 19 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 20 May 2017 → 05 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 23 Mar 2007 → 15 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 Nov 2015 → 02 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 24 Sep 2013 → 21 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 17 Sep 2011 → 20 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 760 | 213 | 28.0% | 0 | 14 |
| Ligue 2 | 425 | 128 | 30.1% | 1 | 13 |
| Coupe de France | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2024 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2023 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 4 |
| 2019 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2017 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2016 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2015 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2013 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 2012 | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 3 |
| 2011 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2010 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2008 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2007 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 13 |
| 2006 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2005 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2004 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2002 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2000 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 1999 | 34 | 16 | 47.1% | 3 |
| 1998 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 1996 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 1995 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 454 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Metz drew 123 where the draw model expected 124.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 129.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.