What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 22 Apr 2023 → 02 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 20 Sep 2008 → 09 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 05 Sep 2022 → 23 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 04 Nov 2011 → 05 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 06 Mar 2016 → 16 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 31 Oct 2014 → 04 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 13 May 2009 → 12 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 01 Mar 1992 → 14 May 1992 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 22 Aug 2025 → 12 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 18 Aug 2021 → 28 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukrainian Cup | 88 | 21 | 23.9% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 58 | 13 | 22.4% | 7 | 7 |
| Premier League | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 9 | 9 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 3 |
| 2014 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2009 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 2007 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1992 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 208 matches (Sep 1988 – Oct 2026), Metalist Kharkiv drew 52 where the draw model expected 49.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 45.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.