What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15 Jan 2012 → 07 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 18 Nov 2012 → 15 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 03 Apr 2016 → 22 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 15 Feb 2015 → 16 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 20 Sep 2014 → 08 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 28 Jan 2016 → 11 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 16 Mar 2013 → 20 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 10 Feb 2013 → 03 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 21 Sep 2005 → 22 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 27 Dec 2015 → 20 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 136 | 30 | 22.1% | 8 | 17 |
| Turkish Cup | 79 | 17 | 21.5% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2015 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2014 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2013 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 15 |
| 2011 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 217 matches (Aug 1962 – Sep 2017), Mersin İdman Yurdu drew 48 where the draw model expected 53.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 52.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.