What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 18 Feb 1996 → 17 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 29 Nov 1998 → 31 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 06 Oct 1997 → 12 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 19 Feb 1997 → 29 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 04 Apr 1999 → 09 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 08 Feb 1998 → 15 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 16 Apr 2000 → 14 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 21 Nov 1999 → 19 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 05 Nov 1995 → 03 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 29 Jan 2000 → 20 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 122 | 38 | 31.2% | 0 | 11 |
| La Liga | 80 | 24 | 30.0% | 1 | 16 |
| Copa del Rey | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 5 |
| 1999 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1997 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 1996 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 27 |
| 1995 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
Over 212 matches (Sep 1995 – Aug 2026), Mérida AD drew 65 where the draw model expected 62.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 59.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.