What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 06 Jun 2020 → 30 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 02 Oct 2021 → 26 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 24 Mar 1996 → 19 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 02 Dec 2018 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 15 Apr 1998 → 07 Jun 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Jul 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 08 Dec 2020 → 17 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Nov 1996 → 15 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 06 Mar 2021 → 12 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 25 Sep 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 201 | 48 | 23.9% | 0 | 19 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 174 | 59 | 33.9% | 9 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 10 |
| 2020 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 19 |
| 2019 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 1997 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1996 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 10 |
| 1995 | 36 | 17 | 47.2% | 5 |
| 1994 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1993 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
Over 206 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), SV Meppen drew 48 where the draw model expected 56.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 56.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.