What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 28 Sep 2021 → 24 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Sep 2023 → 27 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 24 Feb 2023 → 29 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 18 Sep 2020 → 17 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 25 Feb 2024 → 19 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 02 Oct 2022 → 16 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 09 Jan 2026 → 15 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 29 Jan 2021 → 03 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 17 Jan 2025 → 09 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 27 Feb 2026 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 206 | 57 | 27.7% | 2 | 14 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2025 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2022 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
Over 206 matches (Jul 2020 – Apr 2026), Mazatlán drew 57 where the draw model expected 54.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 56.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.