What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From โ To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 17 May 2015 โ 07 Oct 2015 | โธ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 15 May 1978 โ 28 Aug 1979 | โธ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 09 Oct 2017 โ 01 Jun 2018 | โธ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 26 Mar 2016 โ 03 Sep 2016 | โธ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 26 Sep 2002 โ 30 Aug 2003 | โธ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 25 Apr 1993 โ 28 Aug 1993 | โธ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 11 Jun 2023 โ 12 Jul 2023 | โธ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 27 May 2007 โ 16 Aug 2007 | โธ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 07 Aug 1998 โ 04 Oct 1998 | โธ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 10 Feb 1990 โ 30 Aug 1990 | โธ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 109 | 24 | 22.0% | 2 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 98 | 24 | 24.5% | 2 | 4 |
| Indian Ocean Island Games | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 3 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 0 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Mauritius Four Nations Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2023 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2017 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2016 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2000 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1999 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1998 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1997 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1992 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1973 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 331 matches (Feb 1947 โ Oct 2026), Mauritius drew 71 where the draw model expected 78.1 from those particular fixtures โ about 7 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 81.6 instead โ "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 6 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.