What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 02 May 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 06 Mar 2022 → 01 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 22 Mar 2015 → 13 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 17 Aug 2014 → 28 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 26 Jan 2025 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 17 Oct 2020 → 16 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 15 Aug 2025 → 25 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 18 Feb 2024 → 18 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 02 Sep 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 22 Oct 2003 → 09 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1145 | 305 | 26.6% | 12 | 24 |
| UEFA Europa League | 124 | 35 | 28.2% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 121 | 19 | 15.7% | 8 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Trophée des Champions | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 19 |
| 2025 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 13 |
| 2024 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2023 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 57 | 8 | 14.0% | 14 |
| 2021 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2019 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2017 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2016 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 14 |
| 2014 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2013 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2012 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2010 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 2006 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 10 |
| 2004 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2003 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2002 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 1998 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 3 |
| 1994 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 567 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Olympique de Marseille drew 140 where the draw model expected 141.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 148.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.