What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 08 Apr 2001 → 15 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 08 Jan 2023 → 29 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 11 Mar 2016 → 02 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 11 May 2014 → 08 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 28 Oct 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Mar 2004 → 25 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 22 Sep 2002 → 23 Dec 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 04 Mar 2019 → 18 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 13 Sep 2015 → 19 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 08 Jan 2011 → 01 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 964 | 247 | 25.6% | 3 | 24 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Taça de Portugal | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 16 |
| 2022 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2017 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2016 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2015 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2013 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 8 |
| 2012 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 9 |
| 2009 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 13 |
| 2003 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2001 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 28 |
| 2000 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 315 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), CS Marítimo drew 73 where the draw model expected 81.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 79.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.