What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 23 Jul 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 02 Jun 2018 → 12 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 08 Jun 2014 → 27 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Jul 2021 → 26 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 28 Jul 2019 → 28 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 23 May 2026 → 20 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 03 May 2021 → 30 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 01 Aug 2026 → 18 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 21 Aug 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 16 Jun 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 446 | 113 | 25.3% | 0 | 12 |
| Finnish Cup | 64 | 11 | 17.2% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 12 |
| 2021 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | 10 |
| 2020 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 2017 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2013 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2012 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2011 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 387 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), IFK Mariehamn drew 97 where the draw model expected 96.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 94.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.