What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 Aug 2010 → 04 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 11 Feb 2006 → 06 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Jan 2012 → 08 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 19 Dec 2010 → 04 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 22 Mar 2008 → 24 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 21 Dec 2007 → 17 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Feb 2007 → 08 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 27 Aug 2006 → 20 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 24 Sep 2011 → 27 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 18 Apr 2011 → 14 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 202 | 49 | 24.3% | 12 | 15 |
| Turkish Cup | 73 | 19 | 26.0% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2010 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 17 |
| 2009 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 3 |
| 2008 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 2007 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 14 |
| 2005 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 276 matches (Oct 1963 – Aug 2025), Manisaspor drew 68 where the draw model expected 69.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 66.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.