What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 30 Sep 2015 → 01 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 01 Sep 2019 → 25 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 16 Sep 2013 → 16 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 22 Aug 2016 → 06 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 17 Sep 2023 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 28 Jul 2013 → 25 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 12 Apr 2026 → 30 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Sep 2025 → 20 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 21 Jul 2018 → 26 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 18 Apr 2018 → 20 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 446 | 106 | 23.8% | 1 | 17 |
| Swedish Cup | 175 | 37 | 21.1% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 100 | 18 | 18.0% | 5 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 16 |
| 2018 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2017 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 13 |
| 2015 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2014 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2013 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2002 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1975 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1974 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1973 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1946 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1944 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1943 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 487 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Malmö FF drew 109 where the draw model expected 106.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.