What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 Oct 2001 → 08 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 11 Dec 2004 → 09 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 25 May 2003 → 19 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Feb 2006 → 02 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 14 Aug 2004 → 31 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 17 Sep 2005 → 29 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 18 Dec 2002 → 04 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 12 Aug 2001 → 29 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 15 Apr 2006 → 30 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 24 Sep 2008 → 17 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 170 | 45 | 26.5% | 5 | 22 |
| Turkish Cup | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2005 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 2004 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2003 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2002 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2001 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 225 matches (Sep 1978 – Sep 2009), Malatyaspor drew 52 where the draw model expected 55.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 54.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.