What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 Apr 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 29 Nov 2003 → 21 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 16 Jun 2007 → 11 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 31 Oct 2010 → 05 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 07 Nov 2004 → 30 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 14 Dec 2025 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 23 Apr 2006 → 30 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 10 Mar 2014 → 03 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 10 Jan 2012 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 17 Apr 2005 → 18 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 657 | 169 | 25.7% | 1 | 17 |
| Segunda División | 420 | 133 | 31.7% | 1 | 15 |
| Copa del Rey | 58 | 18 | 31.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 23 | 13 | 56.5% | 2 |
| 2023 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 9 |
| 2021 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 9 |
| 2020 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 4 |
| 2019 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 17 |
| 2017 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2016 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2010 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2009 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2008 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 14 |
| 2006 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2005 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2004 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2003 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2002 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2001 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2000 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 9 |
Over 473 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Málaga CF drew 141 where the draw model expected 138.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.