What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 24 Nov 2018 → 26 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 07 Aug 2018 → 25 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 26 Nov 2022 → 28 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 12 Nov 2016 → 17 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 04 Mar 2023 → 07 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 16 Feb 2019 → 23 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 13 Aug 2022 → 03 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 25 Mar 2017 → 17 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 09 Aug 2016 → 29 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 04 Nov 2023 → 26 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 184 | 42 | 22.8% | 3 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 59 | 15 | 25.4% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2022 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 12 |
| 2017 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 6 |
| 2016 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 200 matches (Nov 2015 – Aug 2026), Maidstone United drew 43 where the draw model expected 50.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 50.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.