What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 17 Jul 2020 → 24 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 04 Dec 2022 → 29 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 10 Sep 2017 → 16 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 24 Aug 2013 → 12 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 13 Jan 2013 → 03 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 28 Mar 2021 → 24 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 10 Nov 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 11 Feb 2018 → 17 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 10 Dec 2017 → 20 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 07 May 2016 → 04 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 462 | 157 | 34.0% | 3 | 10 |
| Copa del Rey | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 4 |
| 2022 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 4 |
| 2021 | 46 | 22 | 47.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2019 | 45 | 22 | 48.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2015 | 44 | 19 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2013 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
Over 380 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), CD Lugo drew 133 where the draw model expected 116.6 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 112.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.