What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 19 Apr 2016 → 22 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Apr 2013 → 15 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Feb 2018 → 11 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 15 Jan 2025 → 12 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Aug 2014 → 29 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 31 Mar 2024 → 13 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 12 Feb 2017 → 29 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 25 Sep 2004 → 14 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 23 Sep 2001 → 19 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 13 Jan 2020 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 677 | 201 | 29.7% | 1 | 14 |
| Ligue 2 | 450 | 116 | 25.8% | 3 | 17 |
| Coupe de France | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 13 |
| 2024 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2023 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 4 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2019 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2016 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 15 |
| 2015 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2013 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 15 |
| 2012 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2011 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 8 |
| 2010 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2009 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 5 |
| 2007 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2004 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2003 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
| 2002 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2000 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1999 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1997 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 1996 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 3 |
Over 460 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Lorient drew 112 where the draw model expected 123.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 129.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.