What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 18 Nov 2017 → 11 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Jan 2006 → 09 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 04 Feb 2007 → 15 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 04 Sep 2005 → 16 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 29 Apr 2018 → 01 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 09 Dec 2006 → 21 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 23 Sep 2017 → 14 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 01 Oct 2006 → 29 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 25 Mar 2018 → 08 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 29 Apr 2007 → 13 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 126 | 31 | 24.6% | 6 | 12 |
| Copa del Rey | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 2016 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2006 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 12 |
| 2005 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
Over 132 matches (Aug 2005 – Oct 2018), Lorca drew 35 where the draw model expected 40.0 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 39.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.