What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 31 Jul 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 05 Aug 2016 → 17 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 16 Oct 2015 → 14 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 05 Jun 2015 → 18 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 15 May 2021 → 12 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 16 Jun 2007 → 02 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 27 Jul 2003 → 26 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 17 Feb 1988 → 17 Apr 1988 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 24 Jun 2016 → 15 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 22 Aug 2015 → 11 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAI Cup | 116 | 31 | 26.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Premier Division | 113 | 30 | 26.6% | 1 | 13 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 14 |
| 2020 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2015 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 2003 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 131 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2026), Longford Town drew 33 where the draw model expected 31.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 32.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.