What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 16 Aug 1997 → 09 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 28 Jan 1996 → 13 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 19 Dec 1998 → 20 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 08 Dec 2001 → 16 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 10 Oct 1998 → 28 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 16 Nov 2002 → 16 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 02 Mar 2002 → 13 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 27 May 2001 → 23 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 22 Aug 1998 → 23 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 06 Feb 2000 → 19 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 215 | 57 | 26.5% | 1 | 11 |
| Belgian Cup | 66 | 16 | 24.2% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1998 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 1997 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 1996 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 1995 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1981 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 287 matches (Aug 1964 – Nov 2026), Lommel SK drew 74 where the draw model expected 65.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 65.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.