What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 05 Oct 2025 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 15 Apr 2024 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 09 Aug 2025 → 21 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 22 Feb 2025 → 11 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 30 Jul 2023 → 26 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 04 Nov 2024 → 07 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Mar 2026 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 18 Aug 2021 → 01 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 20 Sep 2026 → 18 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 10 Aug 2026 → 30 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 100 | 27 | 27.0% | 0 | 15 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 114 matches (Jul 2018 – Oct 2026), LNZ Cherkasy drew 32 where the draw model expected 31.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.