What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 09 May 2014 → 13 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 08 Jun 2018 → 02 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 08 May 2015 → 11 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 30 Jul 2017 → 08 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 26 Sep 2015 → 06 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 19 Jul 2013 → 31 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 27 Apr 2018 → 21 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 24 Sep 2013 → 25 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 19 May 2017 → 16 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 01 Jun 2013 → 05 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAI Cup | 192 | 60 | 31.3% | 2 | 4 |
| Premier Division | 172 | 38 | 22.1% | 17 | 25 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 20 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 24 |
| 2013 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 118 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2019), Limerick drew 25 where the draw model expected 28.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 29.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.