What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 09 Mar 2005 → 20 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 19 Sep 1998 → 12 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 14 Sep 2013 → 01 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 09 Mar 1997 → 13 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 16 Dec 2006 → 10 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 05 Aug 2006 → 28 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 14 Aug 2004 → 31 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 16 Jan 2000 → 18 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 30 May 1999 → 25 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 31 Aug 1975 → 30 Oct 1976 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 556 | 148 | 26.6% | 0 | 15 |
| Belgian Cup | 155 | 24 | 15.5% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2014 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 12 |
| 2012 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2009 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 17 |
| 2004 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 10 |
| 2003 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2002 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2000 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 1999 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 1998 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 13 |
| 1997 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 1996 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 1983 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 751 matches (Oct 1912 – Aug 2026), Lierse SK drew 177 where the draw model expected 172.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 172.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.