CHN · Club

Liaoning ☆

Statistics
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,407 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,592 reached 8 Mar 2003
Rank #14,473 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 183 last 30 Apr 2019

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Super League 120 34 28.3%
Chinese FA Cup 63 12 19.1%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2019 2 0 0.0% 2
2018 2 0 0.0% 2
2017 31 6 19.4% 14
2016 32 9 28.1% 8
2015 31 10 32.3% 5
2014 31 10 32.3% 9
2013 3 1 33.3% 2
2012 4 1 25.0% 3
2011 2 0 0.0% 2
2006 1 0 0.0% 1
2005 5 1 20.0% 4
2004 1 0 0.0% 1
2003 4 1 25.0% 1
2002 7 0 0.0% 7
2001 1 0 0.0% 1
2000 4 0 0.0% 4
1999 2 1 50.0% 1
1998 10 3 30.0% 5
1997 4 2 50.0% 1
1996 2 1 50.0% 1
1995 4 0 0.0% 4

Over 183 matches (Jun 1995 – Apr 2019), Liaoning drew 46 where the draw model expected 44.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 43.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.