What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 05 Aug 2003 → 20 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 04 Oct 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 08 Nov 1997 → 25 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 05 Jan 2025 → 04 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 12 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 12 May 2017 → 21 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 01 Aug 2008 → 24 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Oct 1998 → 09 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 23 Apr 2018 → 24 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 13 Feb 2017 → 01 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 889 | 259 | 29.1% | 5 | 19 |
| Ligue 2 | 332 | 103 | 31.0% | 4 | 14 |
| UEFA Europa League | 66 | 19 | 28.8% | 0 | 6 |
| Coupe de France | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Trophée des Champions | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 38 | 2 | 5.3% | 17 |
| 2024 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 14 |
| 2022 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 10 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 14 |
| 2016 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2013 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2007 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2005 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 2003 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 22 |
| 2002 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2001 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 5 |
| 2000 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 11 |
| 1999 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 1997 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1996 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 1995 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 476 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), RC Lens drew 122 where the draw model expected 132.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.