What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 20 Feb 2010 → 08 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 12 Sep 2009 → 08 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 27 Apr 2008 → 29 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 27 Feb 2009 → 20 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 09 Jan 2010 → 07 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 03 May 2009 → 23 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 25 Oct 2008 → 21 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 07 Oct 2007 → 03 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 29 Jul 2002 → 19 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 20 Sep 2026 → 17 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 90 | 29 | 32.2% | 11 | 11 |
| Taça de Portugal | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 11 |
| 2009 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2008 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2007 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% | 3 |
| 2002 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Over 117 matches (Sep 1961 – Oct 2026), Leixões SC drew 40 where the draw model expected 29.9 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 28.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.