What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 08 Feb 2019 → 30 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 30 Jul 2022 → 05 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 11 Nov 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 21 Oct 2022 → 12 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 20 Jul 2018 → 10 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 08 May 2023 → 21 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 10 Mar 2023 → 01 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 16 Sep 2022 → 10 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 11 May 2019 → 18 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 20 Oct 2018 → 31 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 71 | 21 | 29.6% | 0 | 7 |
| Polish Cup | 67 | 22 | 32.8% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2022 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2018 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 1 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 140 matches (Aug 1990 – Oct 2025), Miedź Legnica drew 44 where the draw model expected 35.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 34.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.