What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 May 2021 → 13 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 02 Jun 2013 → 20 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 30 Oct 2013 → 02 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 24 Mar 2014 → 26 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 21 Sep 2023 → 09 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 27 Oct 2019 → 09 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 04 Oct 2012 → 26 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 02 Apr 2025 → 18 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Nov 2014 → 14 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 22 Feb 2020 → 21 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 501 | 113 | 22.6% | 1 | 21 |
| Polish Cup | 216 | 53 | 24.5% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 130 | 30 | 23.1% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 26 | 1 | 3.9% | 6 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2022 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 45 | 5 | 11.1% | 28 |
| 2020 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 6 |
| 2017 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 47 | 5 | 10.6% | 13 |
| 2013 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 17 |
| 2012 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2011 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2004 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1996 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1995 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1994 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1989 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1988 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1985 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1970 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1966 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 543 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Legia Warszawa drew 126 where the draw model expected 134.7 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 140.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.