What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 08 Nov 2014 → 21 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 11 Apr 1998 → 01 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 11 Sep 2016 → 29 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 05 Mar 2023 → 12 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 27 May 2023 → 04 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 12 Sep 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 15 Oct 2017 → 09 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 10 Jan 2016 → 13 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 20 Dec 2025 → 14 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Feb 2018 → 17 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 638 | 217 | 34.0% | 1 | 19 |
| La Liga | 190 | 55 | 29.0% | 4 | 11 |
| Copa del Rey | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 7 |
| 2024 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2019 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2016 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2015 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 12 |
| 2014 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2004 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2002 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 44 | 19 | 43.2% | 6 |
| 2000 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 4 |
| 1999 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 5 |
| 1998 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 16 |
| 1997 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
Over 529 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), CD Leganés drew 155 where the draw model expected 151.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 147.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.